the smartphone wars

The future is Brazil. Iron Lady edition.

Way back in 2009, and several times after that, I've said that the future is Brazil.

For William Gibson, the future was Japan.

Wrong!

For Neal Stephenson, the future was the metaverse. Considering that we are bringing the virtual into our reality rather than the reverse, this also is wrong.

Want a location of the near-future? Brazil. That's my bet. Young, brown, growing, bustling, crowded, beautiful, violent, changing, impoverished and wealthy.

Today, they have a new President:

A one-time Marxist guerrilla who was tortured under Brazil's long dictatorship became the first female president of Latin America's largest nation when she was sworn in Saturday.

Ever watch those 1950s sci-fi movies? Where the future, circa 1990, is radically different? Flying cars, space travel, subservient women in short skirts. In just a few years, today's view of the future will be proven just as silly. The smartphone, the mobile web, location-aware platforms, real-time infinitely scalable and almost free person-to-person-to-machine-to-machine-to-group data services will *disproportionately* empower the marginalized and the young. They will function on an almost equivalent plane. No matter where they are. Simultaneously, with AR, always-on video chat and customized information feeds, no one will actually see this new world the same as anyone else.

And we have no idea what to expect. Though we can be certain there will be growth, retrenchment, violence, hope and, as is humanity's way, an overarching pivot toward a better circumstance for all. That said, know that as we go through this wrenching period of change, just like London in the 1800s, there's going to be a good deal of shit hurled your way.